James Madison
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
310  Nora Raher SR 20:32
356  Carol Strock SR 20:37
450  Caitlin Swanson SO 20:46
494  Emily Murphy SO 20:50
1,067  Olivia Viparina JR 21:32
1,258  Erica Jackson JR 21:44
1,277  Erin Saunders JR 21:45
1,342  Nicole Goff SR 21:50
1,639  Madelynn Knight FR 22:08
1,791  Kayla Connelly FR 22:20
1,926  Brooke Manion FR 22:27
2,153  Erica Gray SR 22:43
2,786  Nicole Harrison JR 23:52
National Rank #80 of 348
Southeast Region Rank #12 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.5%
Top 10 in Regional 31.3%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nora Raher Carol Strock Caitlin Swanson Emily Murphy Olivia Viparina Erica Jackson Erin Saunders Nicole Goff Madelynn Knight Kayla Connelly Brooke Manion
JMU Open Invitational 09/09 1014 20:26 20:45 20:55 21:51 21:14 22:09 21:49 22:21 21:58
Roy Griak Invitational 09/23 902 20:18 20:27 20:37 21:13 21:24 22:01 22:03
Penn State National Open 10/13 935 20:37 20:43 20:40 20:39 21:23 21:46 21:48 22:21 22:24
CAA Championship 10/28 924 20:33 20:43 20:47 20:38 22:42 21:04 22:03 21:42 22:01 22:13 22:49
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 914 20:50 20:25 20:40 20:31 22:02 21:48 22:25





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 27.0 689 0.1
Region Championship 100% 11.5 330 0.2 0.3 0.9 2.4 5.1 8.4 14.2 16.5 19.6 18.6 8.4 3.9 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nora Raher 0.1% 106.5
Carol Strock 0.1% 145.5
Caitlin Swanson 0.1% 210.0
Emily Murphy 0.1% 197.0
Olivia Viparina 0.1% 251.0
Erica Jackson 0.1% 247.0
Erin Saunders 0.1% 244.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nora Raher 42.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.8 1.4 1.0 1.8
Carol Strock 47.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 1.0
Caitlin Swanson 57.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2
Emily Murphy 62.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Olivia Viparina 117.8
Erica Jackson 137.5
Erin Saunders 138.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.2% 0.2 4
5 0.3% 16.7% 0.1 0.3 0.1 5
6 0.9% 0.9 6
7 2.4% 2.1% 0.1 2.3 0.1 7
8 5.1% 5.1 8
9 8.4% 8.4 9
10 14.2% 14.2 10
11 16.5% 16.5 11
12 19.6% 19.6 12
13 18.6% 18.6 13
14 8.4% 8.4 14
15 3.9% 3.9 15
16 1.1% 1.1 16
17 0.5% 0.5 17
18 0.2% 0.2 18
19 19
20 20
21 0.1% 0.1 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1 0.1 99.9 0.0 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
West Virginia 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0